Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | UND +275 SEA -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +2 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | SEA -8.2 (+6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (+17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -5.4 (+3.4) | 141.7 (+16.3) | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -8.8 (+6.8) | 144.8 (+13.2) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -4.5 (+2.5) | 142.0 (+16.0) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -3.6 (+1.6) | 142.5 (+15.5) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UND | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 11-7 |
| Home | 8-8 | 12-2 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 70.0 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#292) | 6.9 (#67) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.82 (#260) | 1.86 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.34 (#262) | 2.56 (#50) |
| RPI | 0.429 (#283) | 0.616 (#36) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UND | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 35.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 31.0% |
Game Analysis
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