Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | FUR -900 WIN +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +15 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -12.0 (+3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.2 (-11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -12.3 (+2.7) | 153.3 (-4.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -10.8 (+4.2) | 151.4 (-2.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -10.2 (+4.8) | 155.8 (-6.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -11.0 (+4.0) | 155.2 (-6.2) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2021 | WIN 85 – 80 FUR |
| Dec 19, 2020 | WIN 87 – 71 FUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-8 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-2 | 10-4 |
| Away | 8-3 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.2 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 75.8 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#149) | -5.5 (#272) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#145) | -0.64 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#147) | -0.55 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#137) | 0.454 (#246) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 40.3% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 22.9% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 15.5% | 34.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.9% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 79.6% | 63.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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