Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIN +16 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | WIN -3.9 (+12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIN -8.1 (+7.9) | 158.3 (-0.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIN -5.1 (+10.9) | 152.6 (+5.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIN -6.2 (+9.8) | 156.3 (+1.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIN -7.3 (+8.7) | 156.6 (+1.4) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2022 | FUR 82 – 67 WIN |
| Dec 8, 2021 | WIN 85 – 80 FUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIN | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-2 | 16-9 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 10-5 |
| Home | 11-1 | 11-1 |
| Away | 10-0 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 70.5 |
| Massey | 7.8 (#60) | 8.7 (#53) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.15 (#43) | -0.45 (#190) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.64 (#56) | -0.53 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#54) | 0.444 (#215) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIN | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 39.6% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 6.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.8% | 57.7% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 20.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.4% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 62.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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