Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | CLT -333 DETM +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +2 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | CLT -10.8 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.3 (+28.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -9.8 (-7.8) | 134.7 (+27.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -9.8 (-7.8) | 131.0 (+31.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -9.4 (-7.4) | 135.7 (+26.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -10.2 (-8.2) | 137.7 (+24.3) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2022 | DETM 70 – 49 CLT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 9-11 |
| Home | 11-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-8 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.6 | 75.7 |
| Massey | 5.6 (#85) | -0.0 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.65 (#62) | 0.54 (#133) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#88) | 0.62 (#139) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#75) | 0.537 (#123) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 16.3% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 80.1% | 65.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.8% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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