Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | DETM +115 CLT -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DETM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DETM +21 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | CLT -0.9 (+21.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.5 (-15.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -2.9 (+23.9) | 134.5 (-15.5) | 41% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -3.2 (+24.2) | 131.3 (-12.3) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -0.1 (+21.1) | 136.9 (-17.9) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -0.9 (+21.9) | 137.7 (-18.7) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2022 | CLT 82 – 80 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DETM | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 9-11 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-13 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 62.6 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#163) | 8.9 (#43) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#216) | 1.70 (#62) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#194) | 3.01 (#52) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#215) | 0.587 (#80) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DETM | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 42.1% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 44.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 61.5% | 78.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 14.7% |
Game Analysis
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