Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | SDAK +225 UCI -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +12 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -12.4 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (+16.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -9.3 (-2.7) | 135.9 (+18.1) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -7.1 (-4.9) | 137.6 (+16.4) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -7.3 (-4.7) | 137.1 (+16.9) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -8.3 (-3.7) | 137.2 (+16.8) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2023 | UCI 121 – 78 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDAK | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 15-5 |
| Home | 8-6 | 11-4 |
| Away | 2-11 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 68.1 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#314) | 9.1 (#49) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#169) | 0.86 (#115) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#188) | 1.40 (#103) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#156) | 0.536 (#124) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDAK | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.5% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 40.0% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.7% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 45.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 77.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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