Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | UCI -1200 SDAK +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +43 | 199 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -16.9 (+26.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (+52.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -14.9 (+28.1) | 146.6 (+52.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -13.8 (+29.2) | 145.4 (+53.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -14.7 (+28.3) | 145.7 (+53.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -14.7 (+28.3) | 145.5 (+53.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2022 | UCI 83 – 71 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 5-11 |
| Home | 13-0 | 8-6 |
| Away | 8-9 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 74.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 81.5 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#51) | -3.4 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.36 (#72) | -0.61 (#242) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#75) | -0.88 (#249) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#53) | 0.431 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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