Betting Lines
| Spread | WIU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | EIU +180 WIU -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +4 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | WIU -2.3 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (+21.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -3.2 (-0.8) | 139.0 (+15.0) | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -3.3 (-0.7) | 138.8 (+15.2) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIU -2.7 (-1.3) | 135.3 (+18.7) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIU -4.3 (+0.3) | 136.4 (+17.6) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | WIU 79 – 70 EIU |
| Jan 14, 2026 | EIU 57 – 55 WIU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | EIU 71 – 59 WIU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | WIU 75 – 67 EIU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | WIU 70 – 66 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-9 |
| Home | 6-9 | 11-4 |
| Away | 3-12 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -13.5 (#351) | -6.0 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.26 (#360) | -0.02 (#180) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.16 (#362) | -0.28 (#203) |
| RPI | 0.292 (#363) | 0.493 (#193) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.5% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 24.3% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.1% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 62.9% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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