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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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61–19 on winners spread MAE 9.6 81 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Iowa @ Clemson -12.1 151.5 17% 74–71 ✓
Nicholls @ UC Irvine +13.3 141.5 83% 56–83 ✓
Jacksonville State @ New Mexico +11.8 148.3 85% 61–79 ✓
Lafayette @ Penn State +18.0 129.0 88% 57–70 ✓
William & Mary @ Pittsburgh +7.1 135.3 75% 64–80 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Hofstra +0.7 138.3 44% 64–54 ✗
Tennessee @ Kansas -4.2 135.5 30% 64–50 ✓
Tulsa @ Oklahoma State +10.8 146.8 82% 56–82 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Arkansas State +3.1 129.3 57% 67–59 ✗
Oklahoma @ Seton Hall +2.6 127.3 63% 77–64 ✗
Long Beach State @ Oakland -10.9 157.0 16% 78–70 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Virginia Tech +20.7 145.1 90% 64–69 ✓
Sacramento State @ Hawai'i +3.2 130.6 69% 61–74 ✓
Grambling @ UTSA +7.4 139.9 75% 75–55 ✗
Lindenwood @ Illinois +22.8 153.9 90% 59–92 ✓
Robert Morris @ Mercer +4.2 140.7 75% 66–72 ✓
Idaho @ Pacific +11.6 148.0 74% 84–81 ✗
West Virginia @ Portland State -9.1 149.8 18% 89–71 ✓
UConn @ Alabama +1.1 147.0 58% 82–67 ✗
New Mexico State @ San Diego — — — 90–77 —
Northern Colorado @ North Dakota State +3.3 142.9 64% 80–70 ✗
Butler @ NC State +1.5 141.3 59% 61–76 ✓
California @ TCU +6.3 131.9 82% 48–59 ✓
Texas State @ Southern Utah -0.1 140.8 42% 78–65 ✓
Purdue @ Gonzaga -0.5 146.0 55% 84–66 ✓
Oregon @ Michigan State +2.8 134.8 61% 70–74 ✓
Army @ Manhattan +0.3 144.1 51% 71–72 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Navy +7.6 138.2 75% 59–75 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ UL Monroe -3.1 132.8 35% 65–64 ✓
James Madison @ South Dakota State -11.1 148.5 18% 79–60 ✓
Cleveland State @ Western Michigan -2.1 134.2 34% 71–49 ✓
Northeastern @ Princeton +11.7 138.2 83% 54–56 ✓
Missouri State @ Ball State -3.4 132.3 37% 64–67 ✗
UMBC @ Georgetown +10.8 149.6 84% 70–79 ✓
Houston Christian @ Missouri +24.3 155.6 90% 69–105 ✓
Hampton @ Wake Forest +17.6 158.1 90% 70–97 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ UAlbany -8.7 143.5 20% 73–56 ✓
Little Rock @ Miami (OH) +1.9 153.8 62% 67–80 ✓
Southern @ Omaha -9.6 140.6 22% 78–88 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Northern Iowa +6.5 138.2 77% 76–83 ✓
Marist @ Bucknell +8.2 132.7 71% 60–54 ✗
Boston University @ Southeast Missouri State -2.9 133.8 34% 52–63 ✗
UNC Greensboro @ Hofstra +2.6 138.2 62% 53–65 ✓
Western Carolina @ UNC Asheville +5.5 156.9 72% 61–73 ✓
South Dakota @ Coastal Carolina +2.6 138.5 67% 59–66 ✓
Utah Tech @ Cal State Fullerton +3.9 149.3 67% 66–60 ✗
Alabama State @ Eastern Illinois +3.7 133.1 61% 67–58 ✗
Binghamton @ La Salle +7.5 136.9 80% 62–65 ✓
New Hampshire @ George Washington +4.0 140.6 67% 54–75 ✓
Queens University @ George Mason +1.5 139.1 63% 65–72 ✓
Niagara @ St. John's +12.8 139.0 84% 70–78 ✓
Hartford @ Delaware +13.0 144.6 85% 50–78 ✓
Kent State @ Houston +14.6 128.8 86% 44–49 ✓
South Alabama @ Towson +2.4 131.8 61% 60–62 ✓
Oakland @ San José State +6.7 146.0 78% 67–80 ✓
Youngstown State @ Western Illinois -6.1 144.7 36% 88–64 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Rutgers +25.1 134.5 90% 49–83 ✓
Howard @ Austin Peay +5.3 133.6 64% 56–55 ✗
Gardner-Webb @ North Carolina Central +0.0 131.6 62% 53–58 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Texas +28.2 148.0 91% 54–91 ✓
Tarleton State @ Wichita State +5.5 134.7 73% 71–83 ✓
South Carolina State @ Western Kentucky +15.3 146.2 87% 64–90 ✓
Utah Valley @ Boise State +9.0 132.2 80% 69–87 ✓
Merrimack @ Bradley +11.8 133.7 85% 41–83 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Idaho State +7.0 135.1 73% 68–66 ✗
Kennesaw State @ VCU +7.9 132.2 83% 61–64 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Colorado State +21.8 131.4 90% 45–88 ✓
Presbyterian @ Charlotte +14.5 126.6 85% 42–69 ✓
Clemson @ California -5.5 126.5 22% 67–59 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Bowling Green -2.0 146.7 47% 69–57 ✓
Columbia @ Providence +18.8 146.3 90% 64–78 ✓
Bryant @ Syracuse +2.2 150.1 52% 73–72 ✗
North Alabama @ Georgia Tech +11.0 140.7 82% 61–80 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Middle Tennessee -0.6 131.4 52% 63–75 ✗
Colgate @ Pennsylvania +2.1 145.7 59% 69–81 ✓
Robert Morris @ Evansville +0.3 128.9 68% 53–54 ✓
UC Davis @ Milwaukee -6.4 148.9 27% 85–87 ✗
Delaware State @ Liberty +15.1 132.3 88% 53–80 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Vermont -2.3 130.5 35% 68–66 ✓
Louisiana @ Drake +7.0 144.6 75% 64–76 ✓
Northwestern State @ Central Arkansas +3.7 141.7 57% 74–66 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.