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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
34–15 on winners
spread MAE 9.5
49 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+0.9 | 133.2 | 57% | 69–70 | ✓ |
|
|
-5.7 | 134.4 | 34% | 83–59 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.6 | 133.2 | 47% | 80–68 | ✗ |
|
|
+7.9 | 129.3 | 79% | 59–67 | ✓ |
|
|
-7.2 | 146.1 | 28% | 81–70 | ✓ |
|
|
+11.8 | 127.5 | 80% | 68–64 | ✗ |
|
|
+6.5 | 161.8 | 76% | 78–102 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.0 | 137.5 | 73% | 62–74 | ✓ |
|
|
-7.6 | 136.8 | 24% | 76–58 | ✓ |
|
|
-2.5 | 135.2 | 42% | 73–78 | ✗ |
|
|
+24.4 | 150.7 | 90% | 51–90 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.7 | 127.6 | 52% | 54–62 | ✗ |
|
|
+1.9 | 131.7 | 59% | 59–64 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.4 | 143.6 | 59% | 82–66 | ✗ |
|
|
-8.0 | 142.0 | 21% | 61–50 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.4 | 135.2 | 78% | 60–70 | ✓ |
|
|
-2.4 | 148.1 | 41% | 44–58 | ✗ |
|
|
+1.9 | 153.0 | 63% | 80–89 | ✓ |
|
|
-2.8 | 145.0 | 39% | 52–67 | ✗ |
|
|
+9.9 | 127.9 | 84% | 60–75 | ✓ |
|
|
+15.5 | 137.3 | 87% | 67–78 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.3 | 153.0 | 70% | 72–68 | ✗ |
|
|
+7.0 | 137.1 | 78% | 55–61 | ✓ |
|
|
-5.3 | 148.1 | 28% | 81–63 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.6 | 140.0 | 71% | 56–63 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.1 | 127.3 | 72% | 68–54 | ✗ |
|
|
+9.4 | 142.0 | 76% | 79–76 | ✗ |
|
|
-6.2 | 147.1 | 20% | 77–76 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.2 | 142.6 | 49% | 83–71 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.8 | 142.1 | 78% | 59–80 | ✓ |
|
|
-5.0 | 137.6 | 25% | 71–64 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.1 | 130.9 | 47% | 79–75 | ✗ |
|
|
+21.5 | 157.6 | 90% | 79–95 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.5 | 125.7 | 72% | 74–69 | ✗ |
|
|
+9.6 | 140.0 | 80% | 54–96 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.5 | 140.4 | 56% | 67–72 | ✓ |
|
|
+9.3 | 134.2 | 84% | 53–68 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.3 | 140.1 | 47% | 51–63 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.3 | 128.5 | 63% | 77–66 | ✗ |
|
|
+18.5 | 147.0 | 90% | 55–75 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.7 | 144.0 | 64% | 65–70 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.5 | 132.8 | 74% | 52–81 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.5 | 133.3 | 69% | 61–73 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.2 | 123.5 | 59% | 54–69 | ✗ |
|
|
+24.7 | 134.4 | 90% | 45–72 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.8 | 133.5 | 80% | 53–74 | ✓ |
|
|
-3.8 | 139.0 | 42% | 64–69 | ✗ |
|
|
+6.9 | 137.5 | 77% | 68–81 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.2 | 133.1 | 73% | 67–78 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.