Betting Lines
| Spread | SFA -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | QUIN +230 SFA -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +14 | 102 | Won |
| Massey | SFA -1.9 (+15.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.3 (-59.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFA -1.5 (+15.5) | 153.9 (-51.9) | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SFA -2.4 (+16.4) | 148.1 (-46.1) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SFA -1.1 (+15.1) | 154.2 (-52.2) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SFA -1.5 (+15.5) | 152.9 (-50.9) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | SFA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-4 | 12-4 |
| Away | 9-6 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#134) | 4.2 (#96) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.43 (#33) | 1.35 (#83) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.80 (#68) | 2.22 (#83) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#176) | 0.473 (#212) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | SFA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 35.9% | 42.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 35.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 58.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 26.9% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 32.9% |
Game Analysis
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