Betting Lines
| Spread | WSU -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | WSU -700 DETM +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WSU +42 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | WSU -8.4 (+33.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (+3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WSU -7.5 (+34.5) | 142.6 (+7.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -9.6 (+32.4) | 140.0 (+10.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -7.1 (+34.9) | 143.4 (+6.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -6.8 (+35.2) | 144.0 (+6.0) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WSU | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 9-11 |
| Home | 10-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-8 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 75.7 |
| Massey | 5.8 (#81) | 4.5 (#90) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#185) | 0.41 (#151) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#158) | 1.27 (#118) |
| RPI | 0.410 (#281) | 0.540 (#125) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WSU | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 42.0% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 63.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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