Betting Lines
| Spread | PENN -19.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | PENN -2000 HART +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PENN +20 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | PENN -25.3 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.8 (-20.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PENN -17.6 (+2.4) | 147.6 (-17.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PENN -18.5 (+1.5) | 147.0 (-17.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PENN -16.1 (+3.9) | 148.3 (-18.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PENN -19.3 (+0.7) | 149.1 (-19.1) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2023 | PENN 76 – 52 HART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PENN | HART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-13 | 5-23 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| Home | 11-4 | 5-10 |
| Away | 6-9 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 59.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 74.8 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#177) | -17.9 (#363) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#86) | -3.42 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.41 (#78) | -5.66 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#82) | 0.278 (#357) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PENN | HART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 27.1% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 58.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.6% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 62.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 12.6% |
Game Analysis
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