Betting Lines
| Spread | PENN -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | HART +700 PENN -1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PENN +24 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | PENN -16.4 (-7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (-12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PENN -11.1 (-12.9) | 136.5 (-8.5) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PENN -11.4 (-12.6) | 138.3 (-10.3) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PENN -11.5 (-12.5) | 141.1 (-13.1) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PENN -12.1 (-11.9) | 140.2 (-12.2) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2022 | PENN 75 – 55 HART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HART | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-23 | 17-13 |
| Conference | 0-0 | 9-5 |
| Home | 5-10 | 11-4 |
| Away | 0-11 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.7 | 74.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -20.3 (#362) | -0.3 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.76 (#360) | -0.35 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.65 (#359) | -0.16 (#192) |
| RPI | 0.343 (#362) | 0.491 (#194) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HART | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.5% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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