Betting Lines
| Spread | PUR -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | WVU +110 PUR -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PUR +12 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | WVU -5.8 (-17.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.6 (+16.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -2.0 (-14.0) | 132.0 (+16.0) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -1.6 (-13.6) | 133.2 (+14.8) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -2.5 (-14.5) | 135.4 (+12.6) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -2.2 (-14.2) | 133.5 (+14.5) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 29-6 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 15-5 |
| Home | 13-4 | 14-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 7-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 62.7 |
| Massey | 14.7 (#16) | 8.8 (#49) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.49 (#31) | 1.74 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.84 (#32) | 3.09 (#56) |
| RPI | 0.629 (#44) | 0.635 (#41) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.9% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 43.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.4% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 37.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.3% | 40.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.0% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 10.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.