Betting Lines
| Spread | CIT -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | CIT -600 IUIN +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIT +21 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | CIT -8.5 (+12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.7 (-9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIT -7.1 (+13.9) | 136.6 (-9.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIT -6.8 (+14.2) | 133.5 (-6.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIT -6.7 (+14.3) | 137.4 (-10.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIT -7.2 (+13.8) | 137.1 (-10.1) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIT | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 2-18 |
| Home | 5-9 | 4-9 |
| Away | 4-11 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 78.6 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#302) | -15.9 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#229) | -2.61 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#246) | -4.23 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.459 (#228) | 0.378 (#312) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIT | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 22.9% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 27.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.6 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 23.3% |
| ORB% | 19.4% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 16.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 60.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 32.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.