Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | MEM -600 NEB +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +12 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | MEM -7.3 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.3 (+2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -3.7 (+8.3) | 134.6 (-0.6) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -6.5 (+5.5) | 133.3 (+0.7) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -4.5 (+7.5) | 135.5 (-1.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -3.7 (+8.3) | 135.4 (-1.4) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-11 |
| Home | 13-2 | 11-4 |
| Away | 7-5 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 8.6 (#54) | 1.3 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.10 (#43) | 0.61 (#134) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.28 (#48) | 1.80 (#99) |
| RPI | 0.676 (#21) | 0.546 (#117) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 36.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 7.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.