Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | HALL +100 MEM -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HALL +1 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | HALL -3.2 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.3 (+8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HALL -1.4 (-0.4) | 136.0 (+3.0) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HALL -0.9 (+0.1) | 133.2 (+5.8) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HALL -2.1 (-1.1) | 133.4 (+5.6) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HALL -1.5 (-0.5) | 135.0 (+4.0) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 13-5 |
| Home | 10-6 | 13-2 |
| Away | 6-7 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 11.7 (#26) | 8.6 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#160) | 2.10 (#43) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#133) | 3.28 (#48) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#127) | 0.676 (#21) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 39.0% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 42.8 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 22.9% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 38.7% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 35.8% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 36.4% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.2% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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