Betting Lines
| Spread | DAY -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | DAY -175 BYU +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +4 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | DAY -1.3 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.9 (+29.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAY -0.1 (-4.1) | 130.2 (+23.8) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAY -1.5 (-5.5) | 130.0 (+24.0) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DAY -1.0 (-5.0) | 131.2 (+22.8) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAY -2.9 (-6.9) | 132.9 (+21.1) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2025 | BYU 83 – 79 DAY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAY | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-9 |
| Home | 14-2 | 12-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.0 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#131) | 1.1 (#162) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#193) | -1.02 (#258) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#160) | -1.58 (#253) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#150) | 0.472 (#213) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAY | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 25.6% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 41.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 23.3% | 24.1% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 36.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.6% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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