Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | DAY +390 BYU -520 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +4 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | BYU -14.8 (+10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (+11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -10.1 (+6.1) | 148.5 (+13.5) | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -9.7 (+5.7) | 148.5 (+13.5) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -9.9 (+5.9) | 147.7 (+14.3) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -10.0 (+6.0) | 149.0 (+13.0) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2022 | BYU 79 – 75 DAY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAY | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-4 | 14-3 |
| Away | 8-5 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 83.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 75.4 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#112) | 18.8 (#12) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.99 (#50) | 2.30 (#41) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.16 (#79) | 3.83 (#35) |
| RPI | 0.613 (#37) | 0.668 (#11) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAY | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 12.4% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 38.2% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.7% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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