Really don't mind if you sit this one out. "Thick as a Brick" - Jethro Tull
OceanFirst Bank Center · November 25, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread COR -6.5 Away covered
O/U 151.5 Under
Money MONM +250 / COR -250
Model Predictions
Spread Total MONM win
Actual COR +18 144 Lost
Massey COR -5.0 (-13.0) — —
Massey Totals — 149.7 (-5.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 27% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 20% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ COR -5.3 (-12.7) 148.1 (-4.1) 28% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML COR -4.8 (-13.2) 146.8 (-2.8) 29% ✓
Baseline ML COR -4.6 (-13.4) 148.0 (-4.0) 25% ✓
Baseline Plus ML COR -4.5 (-13.5) 146.7 (-2.7) 23% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 30, 2023 COR 91 – 87 MONM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MONM COR
Overall 7-26 17-11
Conference 5-13 7-7
Home 3-10 11-2
Away 3-15 6-8
Neutral 1-1 0-1
Last 5 0-5 2-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 61.7 80.4
Avg Pts Against 74.7 77.3
Massey -10.9 (#337) 1.3 (#154)
Bradley-Terry -2.36 (#333) 0.16 (#168)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.09 (#317) 0.12 (#170)
RPI 0.439 (#248) 0.516 (#162)
Shooting & Four Factors MONM COR
FG% 38.1% 49.5%
3PT% 25.6% 33.7%
REB / G 32.8 36.0
OREB / G 11.2 9.3
AST / TO 0.52 1.20
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 42.4% 57.4%
TOV% 28.2% 20.0%
ORB% 30.9% 27.5%
FT Rate 20.4% 14.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 59.4% 51.3%
Opp TOV% 20.2% 18.6%
DRB% 63.5% 68.4%
Opp FT Rate 32.4% 12.2%

Game Analysis

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