Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | COR -1000 MONM +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +4 | 178 | Won |
| Massey | COR -15.0 (-11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.0 (+18.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -14.6 (-10.6) | 153.9 (+24.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -11.4 (-7.4) | 154.1 (+23.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COR -11.9 (-7.9) | 153.5 (+24.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -11.3 (-7.3) | 152.4 (+25.6) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2022 | COR 81 – 63 MONM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-8 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-1 | 13-1 |
| Away | 10-6 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 8.6 (#55) | 0.1 (#162) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.24 (#38) | 1.24 (#85) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.87 (#51) | 1.74 (#88) |
| RPI | 0.601 (#57) | 0.541 (#118) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 39.1% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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