Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | DAV -154 SF +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +9 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | DAV -1.7 (+7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (+24.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -2.9 (+6.1) | 146.6 (+22.4) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -1.9 (+7.1) | 153.0 (+16.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -3.5 (+5.5) | 144.2 (+24.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -2.0 (+7.0) | 145.3 (+23.7) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 14, 2021 | SF 65 – 60 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | SF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-9 |
| Home | 7-8 | 11-6 |
| Away | 6-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 73.5 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#221) | 3.0 (#121) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.56 (#28) | 2.41 (#34) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.28 (#47) | 3.49 (#44) |
| RPI | 0.615 (#50) | 0.528 (#140) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | SF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 40.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 43.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 79.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.5% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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