Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | SF -270 DAV +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +5 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | SF -13.8 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.7 (-34.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SF -12.5 (-7.5) | 156.8 (-31.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -9.6 (-4.6) | 155.7 (-30.7) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2022 | DAV 89 – 80 SF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SF | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 27-7 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 15-3 |
| Home | 14-4 | 13-1 |
| Away | 7-2 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 74.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.5 | 66.1 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#64) | 3.3 (#95) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#90) | 0.40 (#114) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#90) | 0.60 (#113) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#103) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SF | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 56.9% | 59.3% |
| 3PT% | 42.6% | 60.9% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 5.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 2.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 66.8% | 72.2% |
| TOV% | 23.1% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 43.9% | 21.7% |
| FT Rate | 30.2% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 33.3% |
Game Analysis
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