Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | COLG -225 DEL +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +4 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | COLG -10.2 (-14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.8 (-25.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -6.1 (-10.1) | 155.4 (-15.4) | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -7.3 (-11.3) | 153.0 (-13.0) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -8.0 (-12.0) | 155.3 (-15.3) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -8.7 (-12.7) | 156.1 (-16.1) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-2 | 10-5 |
| Away | 11-4 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 4.4 (#94) | -5.8 (#276) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#150) | -1.88 (#309) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.24 (#120) | -2.83 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#188) | 0.398 (#293) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.0% | 35.7% |
| 3PT% | 41.7% | 27.1% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.3% | 41.5% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 32.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 61.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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