Betting Lines
| Spread | SC -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | SC -700 UPST +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +15 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | SC -8.7 (+6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (-21.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SC -6.4 (+8.6) | 139.3 (-18.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SC -7.1 (+7.9) | 141.5 (-20.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SC -6.0 (+9.0) | 139.5 (-18.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SC -9.3 (+5.7) | 134.2 (-13.2) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | SC 73 – 53 UPST |
| Nov 7, 2023 | SC 82 – 53 UPST |
| Nov 10, 2021 | SC 78 – 60 UPST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | UPST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-8 | 11-2 |
| Away | 4-8 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.3 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -13.3 (#349) | -14.8 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#250) | -1.49 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#264) | -2.91 (#310) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#225) | 0.408 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | UPST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.4% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 25.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.0% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 22.6% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 19.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 13.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 55.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 58.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.9% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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