Betting Lines
| Spread | SC -23.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | SC -50000 UPST +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +20 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | SC -22.7 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.9 (-33.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SC -20.6 (-0.6) | 150.0 (-24.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SC -21.2 (-1.2) | 152.3 (-26.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SC -19.6 (+0.4) | 151.9 (-25.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SC -21.6 (-1.6) | 150.6 (-24.6) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 7, 2023 | SC 82 – 53 UPST |
| Nov 25, 2022 | SC 68 – 53 UPST |
| Nov 10, 2021 | SC 78 – 60 UPST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | UPST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 2-14 |
| Home | 10-8 | 4-10 |
| Away | 1-10 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 85.5 |
| Massey | 6.1 (#83) | -12.2 (#346) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#125) | -2.16 (#332) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#125) | -3.16 (#339) |
| RPI | 0.556 (#92) | 0.411 (#315) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | UPST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 27.5% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.6% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 58.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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