Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | UTEP -188 AMCC +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +5 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | UTEP -1.2 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (-8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTEP -1.5 (+3.5) | 140.4 (-1.4) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -2.3 (+2.7) | 142.9 (-3.9) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -2.2 (+2.8) | 143.3 (-4.3) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -1.0 (+4.0) | 143.6 (-4.6) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2023 | AMCC 67 – 63 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 14-4 |
| Home | 11-7 | 13-2 |
| Away | 3-10 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 78.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 73.6 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#122) | 8.9 (#46) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.23 (#40) | 1.92 (#54) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.87 (#30) | 4.07 (#25) |
| RPI | 0.705 (#10) | 0.641 (#37) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 21.7% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.7% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.3% | 25.6% |
| DRB% | 62.6% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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