Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | UTEP -1000 AMCC +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +4 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | UTEP -12.4 (-16.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (-12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTEP -7.7 (-11.7) | 137.0 (-7.0) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -9.5 (-13.5) | 138.1 (-8.1) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -9.5 (-13.5) | 138.3 (-8.3) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -10.2 (-14.2) | 140.1 (-10.1) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2022 | UTEP 72 – 67 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 14-4 |
| Home | 13-5 | 13-2 |
| Away | 2-9 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 68.9 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#196) | -7.1 (#299) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#157) | -3.11 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#185) | -5.37 (#350) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#106) | 0.368 (#329) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 38.0% |
| 3PT% | 24.1% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 42.0% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 32.2% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.6% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.5% | 37.2% |
Game Analysis
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