Betting Lines
| Spread | UTU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | UND +170 UTU -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UND +15 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | UTU -1.2 (+16.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.1 (-33.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTU -2.8 (+17.8) | 145.0 (-26.0) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTU -0.4 (+15.4) | 147.8 (-28.8) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTU -0.3 (+15.3) | 149.3 (-30.3) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTU -1.3 (+16.3) | 147.2 (-28.2) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2023 | UND 79 – 62 UTU |
| Dec 18, 2021 | UTU 78 – 69 UND |
| Dec 3, 2020 | UTU 74 – 73 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UND | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-8 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -9.9 (#328) | -1.5 (#212) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.74 (#297) | -0.50 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.49 (#326) | -1.91 (#267) |
| RPI | 0.374 (#320) | 0.491 (#192) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UND | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 29.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 57.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 64.1% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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