Betting Lines
| Spread | UTU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | UTU -163 UND +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UND +17 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | UTU -12.1 (-29.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTU -9.9 (-26.9) | 138.9 (+2.1) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTU -9.9 (-26.9) | 138.4 (+2.6) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTU -10.0 (-27.0) | 137.1 (+3.9) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTU -9.3 (-26.3) | 140.2 (+0.8) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2022 | UND 67 – 52 UTU |
| Dec 18, 2021 | UTU 78 – 69 UND |
| Dec 3, 2020 | UTU 74 – 73 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTU | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 10-6 |
| Home | 6-7 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-13 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#195) | -8.6 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#157) | -0.28 (#209) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#149) | -0.94 (#254) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#150) | 0.451 (#256) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTU | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 27.6% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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