Betting Lines
| Spread | UTU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTU +9 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | UTU -4.2 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.5 (-10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTU -3.0 (-6.0) | 145.3 (+1.7) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTU -2.7 (-6.3) | 154.2 (-7.2) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTU -2.8 (-6.2) | 152.1 (-5.1) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTU -2.6 (-6.4) | 148.4 (-1.4) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2023 | UND 79 – 62 UTU |
| Nov 25, 2022 | UND 67 – 52 UTU |
| Dec 3, 2020 | UTU 74 – 73 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UND | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-25 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 6-12 |
| Home | 4-11 | 10-6 |
| Away | 1-13 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.1 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -14.9 (#349) | -6.0 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.87 (#308) | -0.36 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.49 (#330) | -0.39 (#209) |
| RPI | 0.391 (#328) | 0.490 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UND | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.1% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.8% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.1% | 56.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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