Really don't mind if you sit this one out. "Thick as a Brick" - Jethro Tull
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–3 on winners spread MAE 7.0 41 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Idaho @ Cal Poly +4.3 131.0 65% 71–82 ✓
Stony Brook @ Florida International +6.0 140.4 72% 50–83 ✓
Evansville @ UCF +16.6 128.6 87% 56–76 ✓
Alabama State @ Duquesne +16.9 153.1 89% 57–75 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Brown -5.8 146.4 36% 73–62 ✓
App State @ East Tennessee State +5.0 139.3 72% 74–70 ✗
Merrimack @ Providence +15.7 138.4 89% 57–71 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Missouri — — — 51–89 —
Butler @ Tennessee +1.8 134.4 59% 45–71 ✓
Louisville @ Cincinnati +8.2 134.5 79% 62–81 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Kansas City -2.1 131.9 36% 73–59 ✓
LSU @ Kansas State +2.6 138.5 62% 59–61 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Alabama A&M -8.5 146.3 20% 80–75 ✓
Idaho State @ Lindenwood +5.5 135.7 75% 76–77 ✓
Auburn @ Northwestern -0.2 126.7 42% 43–42 ✓
Utah @ Mississippi State +6.0 122.7 71% 49–52 ✓
Jackson State @ Michigan +14.4 149.0 86% 68–78 ✓
South Carolina State @ Wake Forest +19.1 155.4 90% 74–105 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UTEP +6.3 129.8 73% 67–68 ✓
Fresno State @ Washington +2.5 125.2 67% 57–62 ✓
Arkansas @ San Diego State +0.2 141.4 51% 78–74 ✗
North Alabama @ UC Santa Barbara +10.1 133.9 83% 71–89 ✓
Pepperdine @ UCLA +13.9 148.6 86% 53–100 ✓
Minnesota @ UNLV +8.1 131.2 80% 62–71 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Vanderbilt -8.7 128.8 25% 75–65 ✓
California Baptist @ Southern Illinois +3.6 127.8 68% 61–64 ✓
Wisconsin @ Kansas +5.0 127.9 69% 68–69 ✓
Florida State @ Siena +0.4 140.9 58% 63–80 ✓
Manhattan @ Northeastern -3.0 138.2 48% 67–69 ✗
North Carolina @ Portland -3.3 148.3 41% 89–81 ✓
Ole Miss @ Stanford -3.0 130.4 33% 72–68 ✓
Tennessee @ USC -8.1 137.7 19% 73–66 ✓
Princeton @ Army -11.4 146.1 15% 74–66 ✓
Duke @ Oregon State -17.7 125.1 11% 54–51 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ LSU New Orleans +7.3 138.5 81% 84–87 ✓
Iowa State @ Villanova -7.7 125.9 20% 81–79 ✓
Dayton @ NC State +2.1 135.9 70% 64–76 ✓
Oklahoma @ Nebraska -0.5 126.6 61% 69–56 ✓
Florida @ Xavier +0.2 154.4 56% 83–90 ✓
The Citadel @ Denver +3.1 137.1 64% 71–74 ✓
Butler @ BYU -8.4 142.9 21% 75–70 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.