Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -16.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +47 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -10.3 (+36.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.7 (+10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -9.6 (+37.4) | 148.2 (+4.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -13.9 (+33.1) | 148.6 (+4.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -7.9 (+39.1) | 144.7 (+8.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -7.9 (+39.1) | 145.7 (+7.3) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2025 | UCLA 74 – 63 PEPP |
| Nov 27, 2020 | UCLA 107 – 98 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-6 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 2-14 |
| Home | 17-0 | 8-8 |
| Away | 9-2 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 76.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.7 | 81.8 |
| Massey | 12.4 (#23) | 9.2 (#42) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#123) | 1.66 (#72) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.69 (#99) | 3.31 (#48) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#78) | 0.630 (#46) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 51.5% |
| 3PT% | 40.2% | 44.6% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 60.1% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 22.4% |
| FT Rate | 14.3% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 39.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.2% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
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