Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | UCLA -280 PEPP +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +9 | 205 | Won |
| Massey | PEPP -3.6 (+12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (+58.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PEPP -3.5 (+12.5) | 138.2 (+66.8) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PEPP -4.1 (+13.1) | 140.5 (+64.5) | 32% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2025 | UCLA 74 – 63 PEPP |
| Nov 24, 2022 | UCLA 100 – 53 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 15-12 |
| Conference | 13-6 | 7-6 |
| Home | 11-1 | 7-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-5 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | W3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#77) | 4.7 (#42) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#133) | 1.06 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#108) | 1.55 (#21) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 50.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 28.0 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 1.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 56.2% |
| TOV% | 24.0% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 39.4% |
| FT Rate | 39.5% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 43.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 63.6% | 65.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
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