Betting Lines
| Spread | FIU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | FIU -333 STBK +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FIU +33 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | FIU -9.0 (+24.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (-10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FIU -7.5 (+25.5) | 143.6 (-10.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FIU -6.0 (+27.0) | 140.4 (-7.4) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -6.4 (+26.6) | 143.6 (-10.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -7.3 (+25.7) | 145.7 (-12.7) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FIU | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-7 | 7-7 |
| Away | 3-10 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 61.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -8.3 (#318) | -10.2 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#268) | -2.35 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#249) | -3.48 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.399 (#295) | 0.233 (#361) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FIU | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.7% | 35.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 21.1% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 4.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 41.2% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 12.6% |
| FT Rate | 16.6% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.2% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.