Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -21.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | MICH -3300 JKST +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +10 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -13.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -12.4 (-2.4) | 148.2 (-2.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -14.4 (-4.4) | 149.0 (-3.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -11.6 (-1.6) | 147.8 (-1.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -12.0 (-2.0) | 150.0 (-4.0) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-4 | 7-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-14 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 73.6 |
| Massey | 2.7 (#126) | -3.6 (#238) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#117) | -2.51 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#115) | -4.24 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#127) | 0.138 (#363) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.70 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 12.3% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 16.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 56.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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