Betting Lines
| Spread | SIU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 120.5 Over |
| Money | SIU -150 CBU +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIU +3 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | SIU -7.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 112.0 (+13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIU -3.6 (-0.6) | 126.2 (-1.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIU -3.6 (-0.6) | 127.8 (-2.8) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIU -4.0 (-1.0) | 122.8 (+2.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIU -4.7 (-1.7) | 124.4 (+0.6) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-2 | 13-5 |
| Away | 8-6 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.7 | 65.9 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#106) | -3.3 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#102) | -0.82 (#244) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#159) | -1.32 (#244) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#105) | 0.442 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 27.7% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 23.6% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 15.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.