Now she's with one of my good-time buddies, they're drinking in some crosstown bar. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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48–20 on winners spread MAE 9.2 70 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Coppin State @ Towson +16.2 147.4 87% 67–83 ✓
UMBC @ UNC Greensboro +11.5 138.4 83% 72–76 ✓
UC San Diego @ George Washington +7.6 139.6 73% 75–70 ✗
Stonehill @ Fordham +8.9 145.5 81% 60–71 ✓
Vermont @ Yale +10.4 137.9 85% 44–73 ✓
Temple @ Richmond +1.7 141.9 61% 49–61 ✓
Southern Indiana @ St. Bonaventure +3.6 146.0 59% 66–80 ✓
Rider @ Rutgers +17.8 137.6 87% 46–76 ✓
Elon @ Jacksonville State +7.3 144.9 67% 53–78 ✓
Weber State @ Abilene Christian +1.2 126.7 54% 77–67 ✗
Northern Arizona @ UT Rio Grande Valley +0.8 148.5 57% 79–91 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Drexel -1.0 132.0 35% 67–59 ✓
Nevada @ Kansas State +4.0 133.4 69% 87–96 ✓
Creighton @ Arkansas -2.7 138.9 27% 90–87 ✓
Marist @ Maryland Eastern Shore +2.3 134.0 50% 59–70 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ UTSA -2.0 134.8 59% 75–82 ✗
Louisiana @ SMU +1.2 143.4 51% 76–72 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Lafayette +0.5 129.9 52% 74–68 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Pittsburgh +6.8 148.7 79% 61–83 ✓
Liberty @ Northwestern +6.8 134.7 78% 52–66 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Utah State +9.0 152.9 80% 85–95 ✓
Alcorn State @ UTEP — — — 61–73 —
UAlbany @ Presbyterian +1.4 130.3 48% 68–65 ✗
Grambling @ Arizona State +17.9 141.6 89% 49–80 ✓
Syracuse @ St. John's +3.2 147.5 65% 69–76 ✓
Wright State @ UC Riverside +2.6 150.1 61% 65–70 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Pacific +6.4 153.8 51% 69–65 ✗
Sacramento State @ UC Davis +2.6 135.9 64% 71–82 ✓
San Diego State @ Arizona -2.2 156.1 48% 70–87 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ Toledo +7.3 144.5 73% 69–82 ✓
Illinois State @ Rhode Island -1.1 130.4 55% 44–57 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Long Island University -6.0 136.2 30% 86–61 ✓
American University @ Georgetown +8.0 140.4 73% 74–70 ✗
NC State @ Kansas +0.9 148.7 53% 74–80 ✓
Charlotte @ Detroit Mercy -3.2 131.3 40% 49–70 ✗
Eastern Michigan @ Winthrop +3.8 149.0 72% 87–101 ✓
Chicago State @ Cleveland State +7.1 134.4 75% 63–77 ✓
UT Arlington @ East Carolina +8.6 132.9 82% 65–79 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Tulane +1.3 141.6 59% 71–65 ✗
South Dakota @ Sam Houston +16.2 136.9 85% 49–80 ✓
Columbia @ Binghamton +8.6 142.4 84% 79–81 ✓
Radford @ William & Mary -3.7 143.8 47% 51–62 ✗
Texas Tech @ Ohio State +2.4 132.1 62% 73–80 ✓
Wisconsin @ Dayton -1.0 120.0 43% 43–42 ✓
Valparaiso @ Samford +16.4 144.1 87% 49–79 ✓
St. Thomas @ Milwaukee -0.7 141.7 38% 76–72 ✓
Morgan State @ Loyola Marymount +10.6 146.1 86% 80–81 ✓
The Citadel @ LSU New Orleans +3.1 139.2 44% 72–65 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ Central Michigan -0.0 136.4 52% 66–82 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Southern Miss +8.6 133.0 78% 58–70 ✓
Maine @ Central Connecticut -1.9 145.8 44% 66–58 ✓
McNeese @ Baylor +27.5 144.4 91% 60–89 ✓
North Florida @ Kentucky +22.7 157.6 90% 56–96 ✓
Jacksonville @ Campbell — — — 64–43 —
Wright State @ Weber State -4.1 144.9 35% 87–65 ✓
Lipscomb @ Chattanooga +9.2 137.6 76% 72–66 ✗
Creighton @ Arizona -2.1 158.0 47% 79–81 ✗
Drexel @ Indiana State +1.0 139.9 62% 81–85 ✓
Akron @ Nevada +3.7 131.9 62% 58–62 ✓
BYU @ USC -2.2 143.8 49% 76–82 ✗
Tennessee State @ High Point +1.6 145.6 56% 72–77 ✓
Denver @ IU Indianapolis -8.0 134.2 16% 86–64 ✓
Kent State @ Charleston +1.1 156.0 60% 72–74 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Alcorn State +2.9 133.9 52% 98–67 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ Air Force +10.6 128.4 88% 51–64 ✓
Bradley @ Liberty -1.7 138.0 42% 44–55 ✗
Marquette @ Georgia Tech -4.9 141.2 29% 84–60 ✓
Little Rock @ Indiana +27.9 159.2 91% 68–87 ✓
Abilene Christian @ UC Riverside +5.7 133.0 67% 65–76 ✓
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Miami +21.0 137.5 90% 56–79 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.