Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | LIB -110 BRAD +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +11 | 99 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -0.1 (+11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (-48.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -1.4 (+12.4) | 142.1 (-43.1) | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -1.7 (+12.7) | 138.0 (-39.0) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -0.9 (+11.9) | 143.3 (-44.3) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -1.1 (+12.1) | 144.8 (-45.8) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2025 | BRAD 74 – 64 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 16-4 |
| Home | 19-1 | 15-1 |
| Away | 6-7 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.3 | 62.8 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#172) | 0.5 (#169) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#222) | 0.76 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#199) | 1.45 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#193) | 0.589 (#73) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 29.7 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.0% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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