I'll write on your tombstone, "I thank you for dinner." "Bungle in the Jungle" - Jethro Tull
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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39–15 on winners spread MAE 9.1 54 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Florida @ Duquesne +14.5 154.7 87% 82–83 ✓
Lehigh @ Saint Francis +4.4 139.6 59% 82–76 ✗
Chicago State @ Marshall +19.3 152.1 90% 70–82 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Charleston Southern +6.5 144.2 79% 63–78 ✓
UL Monroe @ Louisiana Tech +21.4 147.2 90% 58–79 ✓
Holy Cross @ Fordham +11.9 144.4 85% 53–67 ✓
Monmouth @ Colgate +15.1 149.8 89% 66–85 ✓
Syracuse @ Richmond +0.8 138.7 39% 74–71 ✗
Loyola Maryland @ Clemson +8.5 137.0 82% 41–72 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Wright State -1.6 143.5 50% 61–77 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Northern Kentucky -4.3 128.7 35% 82–61 ✓
Rhode Island @ Kansas State +14.2 133.0 85% 57–77 ✓
Omaha @ Iowa +26.6 156.9 90% 64–100 ✓
Houston Christian @ Rice +9.5 143.2 81% 67–76 ✓
Drake @ Tarleton State +1.7 138.3 58% 71–64 ✗
Bellarmine @ Duke +22.1 130.2 90% 57–74 ✓
Marquette @ Mississippi State +4.1 132.3 62% 55–58 ✓
Georgia @ Saint Joseph's +0.1 140.4 45% 66–53 ✗
Texas @ Northern Arizona -15.7 133.7 13% 73–48 ✓
Ohio State @ San Diego State -0.4 141.9 57% 77–88 ✗
Washington State @ Eastern Washington -7.5 134.6 20% 82–56 ✓
Hampton @ UC Santa Barbara +13.6 141.6 88% 66–79 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Air Force +5.0 132.5 70% 56–83 ✓
St. John's @ Temple -7.1 153.6 22% 78–72 ✓
UC Riverside @ Weber State -6.9 133.2 24% 72–65 ✓
Texas State @ California +0.4 128.9 38% 59–55 ✗
California Baptist @ Minnesota -3.5 126.0 38% 61–62 ✗
Cincinnati @ Arizona +9.8 157.5 78% 93–101 ✓
Southern Illinois @ UNLV +0.9 128.9 55% 49–56 ✓
East Carolina @ Toledo +0.7 156.9 53% 86–75 ✗
Illinois State @ Western Kentucky +1.4 128.3 62% 66–78 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Grand Canyon +5.4 125.4 74% 67–69 ✓
Austin Peay @ Bucknell +1.4 128.1 57% 65–79 ✓
Sam Houston @ Northern Illinois -14.0 127.0 16% 88–54 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Eastern Michigan -5.6 148.0 22% 74–67 ✓
NJIT @ Sacred Heart +8.3 139.3 65% 85–75 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ UT Arlington -4.1 123.0 38% 56–60 ✗
LSU @ Akron -4.5 137.5 33% 73–58 ✓
San Francisco @ Wichita State +3.4 132.3 53% 67–63 ✗
Texas Tech @ Louisville -14.0 127.3 12% 70–38 ✓
South Dakota @ Long Island University -5.7 139.0 18% 68–58 ✓
North Alabama @ Hampton -4.6 148.9 25% 75–74 ✓
Southern Miss @ Winthrop -9.0 139.7 21% 77–52 ✓
Holy Cross @ UIC +2.9 140.6 64% 66–89 ✓
Georgia @ UAB +6.7 148.4 77% 73–87 ✓
Canisius @ Cornell +11.0 157.8 82% 70–79 ✓
Ohio State @ Cincinnati -9.2 139.9 22% 81–53 ✓
Indiana State @ Kansas City -3.3 145.0 34% 61–63 ✗
Tulane @ Rhode Island -7.3 143.4 24% 78–75 ✓
Bradley @ Auburn +2.1 134.1 58% 64–85 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +6.4 122.5 63% 73–63 ✗
UT Martin @ Arkansas State +9.1 136.7 79% 64–70 ✓
South Florida @ Saint Joseph's +3.5 136.0 60% 75–62 ✗
Bowling Green @ Notre Dame +13.6 141.9 86% 66–82 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.