Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | WICH +100 SF +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +4 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | WICH -6.3 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.1 (+3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -3.8 (-7.8) | 130.1 (-0.1) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -3.4 (-7.4) | 132.3 (-2.3) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -3.6 (-7.6) | 129.1 (+0.9) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -3.4 (-7.4) | 131.4 (-1.4) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | SF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-9 |
| Home | 8-9 | 11-6 |
| Away | 7-4 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 4-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#64) | 1.0 (#157) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.91 (#48) | 1.62 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.38 (#34) | 1.98 (#80) |
| RPI | 0.641 (#45) | 0.412 (#272) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | SF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 23.5% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.4% | 44.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 83.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 11.7% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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