Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -21.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | MRSH -2500 CHST +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +12 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | MRSH -26.3 (-14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -23.2 (-11.2) | 151.9 (+0.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -19.3 (-7.3) | 152.1 (-0.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -19.9 (-7.9) | 151.8 (+0.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -21.8 (-9.8) | 153.0 (-1.0) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRSH | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-8 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 0-0 |
| Home | 15-2 | 8-0 |
| Away | 9-5 | 3-20 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.2 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 10.5 (#33) | -8.2 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.82 (#114) | 0.16 (#165) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#103) | -0.31 (#200) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#138) | 0.556 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRSH | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 44.2 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 16.0 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.92 | 0.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 38.1% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 7.9% | 29.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.8% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 30.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.