What have I done? "Police On My Back" - The Clash
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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22–9 on winners spread MAE 8.2 33 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Colorado @ Boise State -5.6 136.2 35% 55–68 ✗
Kentucky @ Gonzaga +5.5 156.6 72% 72–88 ✓
Ohio @ Michigan +7.8 147.7 80% 66–70 ✓
Jackson State @ Little Rock -0.2 152.5 57% 91–94 ✗
Green Bay @ Utah Valley +10.1 131.2 83% 56–79 ✓
Santa Clara @ UCF +2.0 140.5 58% 50–57 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Missouri +25.1 147.4 91% 62–83 ✓
Tarleton State @ Boston College -3.0 141.4 39% 70–54 ✓
Houston @ Oregon -6.8 126.6 17% 66–56 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Cal Poly -4.3 135.9 19% 73–68 ✓
Illinois State @ LSU +7.9 133.1 77% 61–77 ✓
Kansas City @ Toledo +8.8 150.2 77% 83–71 ✗
Bryant @ Detroit Mercy -5.4 149.5 27% 98–88 ✓
Austin Peay @ UAlbany +2.8 132.2 58% 74–59 ✗
Northern Iowa @ San Francisco — — — 69–75 —
Buffalo @ George Mason +2.5 140.0 58% 82–74 ✗
Akron @ Western Kentucky — — — 72–53 —
Bucknell @ Presbyterian -7.8 130.5 23% 66–65 ✓
Texas Tech @ Creighton +2.6 135.6 67% 65–76 ✓
Indiana State @ East Carolina -4.5 152.0 33% 79–75 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Wichita State -1.1 122.5 51% 43–55 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ Tennessee State +0.9 129.4 63% 73–74 ✓
Howard @ Belmont +7.0 141.0 75% 73–96 ✓
UIC @ Stonehill +2.6 143.8 49% 77–71 ✗
Nevada @ Tulane -5.6 141.2 33% 75–66 ✓
Louisville @ Arkansas +12.2 126.4 85% 54–80 ✓
UT Arlington @ Drexel +2.5 128.6 66% 38–59 ✓
Central Michigan @ High Point +3.3 153.0 57% 67–68 ✓
Wyoming @ Boston College +0.7 134.2 55% 48–59 ✓
Western Illinois @ UT Rio Grande Valley -0.2 148.4 55% 77–78 ✗
UAB @ South Florida -12.6 145.2 16% 80–65 ✓
Utah @ Georgia Tech -2.3 134.3 27% 68–64 ✓
Mercer @ Florida State -0.6 143.3 57% 72–81 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.