Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | SF -163 UNI +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +6 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | SF -2.4 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.3 (+10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SF -5.2 (+0.8) | 135.7 (+8.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -3.6 (+2.4) | 134.3 (+9.7) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -4.0 (+2.0) | 138.8 (+5.2) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SF | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 9-11 |
| Home | 11-6 | 8-8 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 70.6 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#166) | -1.9 (#213) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#70) | -1.45 (#297) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.78 (#92) | -2.26 (#293) |
| RPI | 0.433 (#249) | 0.275 (#347) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SF | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 32.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 13.6% |
| REB / G | 42.3 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.57 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 35.2% |
| TOV% | 24.7% | 12.1% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.1% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 81.1% | 80.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.