Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | ORE +225 HOU -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +10 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | HOU -7.3 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.1 (-0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -4.2 (-5.8) | 129.3 (-7.3) | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -6.8 (-3.2) | 126.6 (-4.6) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -2.4 (-7.6) | 130.1 (-8.1) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -3.3 (-6.7) | 128.9 (-6.9) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 24, 2021 | HOU 78 – 49 ORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 33-4 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 17-1 |
| Home | 15-6 | 16-2 |
| Away | 4-6 | 11-0 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 4-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 57.5 |
| Massey | 7.8 (#55) | 22.8 (#1) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#147) | 2.30 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.92 (#83) | 3.74 (#28) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#220) | 0.669 (#31) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 49.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 42.3 | 42.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 14.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 13.8% |
| ORB% | 36.4% | 39.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.6% | 33.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 26.0% |
| DRB% | 79.8% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.8% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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