Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | ORE +180 HOU -220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +29 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | HOU -11.2 (-17.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (-10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -8.0 (-21.0) | 132.4 (-5.4) | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -8.1 (-20.9) | 129.4 (-2.4) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -7.6 (-21.4) | 135.9 (-8.9) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -7.6 (-21.4) | 135.0 (-8.0) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2022 | HOU 66 – 56 ORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 32-6 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 15-3 |
| Home | 12-5 | 16-1 |
| Away | 6-6 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 9-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 58.8 |
| Massey | -0.0 (#171) | 11.2 (#29) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#177) | 1.11 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#177) | 2.09 (#86) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#107) | 0.627 (#41) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 39.7% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 37.0% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 23.8% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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