Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | BOIS +110 COLO -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +13 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -7.7 (+20.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.6 (-13.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -5.6 (+18.6) | 136.2 (-13.2) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -4.9 (+17.9) | 139.0 (-16.0) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -4.9 (+17.9) | 139.5 (-16.5) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -5.4 (+18.4) | 142.0 (-19.0) | 33% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 21, 2024 | COLO 60 – 53 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 8-12 |
| Home | 14-1 | 13-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.0 | 67.1 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#138) | 9.7 (#40) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#242) | 1.57 (#64) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#216) | 2.79 (#52) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#205) | 0.603 (#73) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 27.0% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 21.5% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.4% | 45.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 81.0% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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