Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | PRES +160 BUCK -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUCK +1 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | BUCK -13.0 (+12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -8.6 (+7.6) | 131.8 (-0.8) | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -7.8 (+6.8) | 130.5 (+0.5) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -8.3 (+7.3) | 136.3 (-5.3) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -8.9 (+7.9) | 135.5 (-4.5) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRES | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-27 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 5-13 |
| Home | 5-9 | 7-7 |
| Away | 0-15 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L18 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.8 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -11.7 (#350) | 1.3 (#152) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.52 (#306) | 0.15 (#166) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.39 (#298) | 0.31 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.329 (#324) | 0.483 (#202) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRES | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 34.8% | 49.3% |
| 3PT% | 22.6% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 28.7 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.57 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 38.8% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.1% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 64.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.