Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | CREI -163 TTU +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +11 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -4.5 (+6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.4 (+15.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -5.4 (+5.6) | 131.8 (+9.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -2.6 (+8.4) | 135.6 (+5.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -2.5 (+8.5) | 132.2 (+8.8) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -1.8 (+9.2) | 132.4 (+8.6) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-2 | 11-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 6-5 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 12.5 (#22) | 7.9 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.15 (#36) | 1.45 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.58 (#30) | 1.86 (#86) |
| RPI | 0.610 (#67) | 0.613 (#64) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.2% | 49.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 2.28 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.7% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 11.8% | 24.9% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 13.6% | 30.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 38.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 23.3% |
| DRB% | 85.2% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 7.2% | 10.0% |
Game Analysis
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